Raycaster / evalsAll benchmarks

Cross-benchmark category

Market Sizing

Compare AI agent runs for Market Sizing: prompts, scores, grades, and public traces. This page showcases APEX-Agents tasks that test whether AI agents can perform market sizing, calculate TAM, SAM, and SOM, evaluate regional expansion, and estimate market-share shifts.

Consulting AITAM/SAM/SOM, regional expansion, market-share shifts
75Tasks
0Primary
1Benchmarks

Published model evidence

A quick view of shareable runs in this category. Open task and trace pages for the prompt, response, files, and grading details.

gpt-5.4-nano40% pass

30/75 runs · avg score 53%

gpt-5.4-mini40% pass

30/75 runs · avg score 53%

Gemini 3.1 Pro40% pass

30/75 runs · avg score 49%

gpt-5.536% pass

27/75 runs · avg score 51%

Gemini 3 Flash33% pass

2/6 runs · avg score 67%

GPT-5.432% pass

20/62 runs · avg score 46%

Related tasks

75 tasks that also exercise this work as part of a broader assignment.

  1. CW134 Aditi 01APEX-Agents(task_11c9d4cb0cf3401b8de7cff9969fc223)8/8 · Pass

    For each of the four competitor firms use use our financial dataset for 2016 - 2025 to calculate the average customer acquisition cost (US$) for 2016-24 and identify the competitor with the highest ch…

  2. CW134 Aditi 03APEX-Agents(task_21b14fd7ec454ab38e07d2c4055d1fff)2/6 · Fail

    To better understand the market dynamics, the client wants to analyze customer engagement with the mobile app features. Use the feature dataset for competitors from 2016-24 to calculate the following …

  3. Shiva Task 01 World 129APEX-Agents(task_f69f5d19990b4292809009a331e1bbe9)2/3 · Fail

    Using the estimated market share chart and Brightpath customer segmentation, please calculate the potential revenue for the SMB Accounting segment if it achieved the target share. Include an analysis …

  4. SP Task 02 Wold 135APEX-Agents(task_93a6a24649ce48e99b8197a38425a56b)9/9 · Pass

    Please use the State of Fashion Report to identify the top three regions (by global beauty retail sales market size) in 2024. Also, please provide 2019 and 2030 market size for these regions, using th…

  5. SP Task 03 World 135APEX-Agents(task_618ae695767944c1bcc964105be877e0)2/3 · Fail

    Using the State of Fashion report and the customer survey, for the Drugstores/pharmacies, E-commerce, and Department Stores channels, return the percentage point difference between the percentage of s…

  6. SP Task 04 World 135APEX-Agents(task_e75cacb35dc8429a895bba6aff5f8a58)4/4 · Pass

    Using the State of Fashion Beauty report for 2024 sales and sub-category shares, alongside the attached data for Mass Market vs. Premium share by sub-category, calculate the difference (in $M) between…

  7. SP Task 07 World 135APEX-Agents(task_d5b4cc5e50b74ad68cca42cd737f1e9b)0/4 · Fail

    I need additional information for North America's sales for 2024, both online and In-store. Values are based on the Nielsen report and State of fashion beauty report. Assume that the US numbers split …

  8. Task_128_PJ_04APEX-Agents(task_f14e5c8e67ba4b018f537c990ea96d71)1/1 · Pass

    The client wants to do market sizing for an autonomous ride-hailing service in Europe. Estimate the market size (in $ Mn) based on the lifetime value (LTV) and adoption rate (%) of users. - Use info…

  9. W127_AH_Task 3APEX-Agents(task_fff2cb532f724bb094ab135347c63f5b)5/9 · Fail

    Update the business case model with the new gross margin numbers. Flow these values for the model, and give the updated total gross profit values for EV, Hybrid, and ICE for each of the 3 scenarios: (…

  10. W127_AH_Task 7APEX-Agents(task_56364690260243039485520251995f57)4/10 · Fail

    Read the attached email from the EM about conducting lifecycle analysis on the SKU data and execute on the analysis in: 4. Data Hygiene / Gaps Log (Associate 2). Use values rounded to two decimal plac…

  11. W127_AH_Task4APEX-Agents(task_a8f224ee84ef44138f3c65caa162914e)0/3 · Fail

    Use the financial model with the new numbers from the finance team (attached) to calculate the 5 year values for: (1) Revenue, (2) COGS, and (3) Gross Profit. Round all final numbers to two decimals (…

  12. W127_AH_Task6APEX-Agents(task_eac321b0b2e1495b85889beef2ff89a7)8/8 · Pass

    Pull the values for each brand's SKU share. Give them as a percentage of total SKUs, and matching the platform/application and brand name. Round percentages to two decimals. Output your results as a r…

  13. W132_Task01_DAAPEX-Agents(task_1ecba15d0ac14cb6bb0ebb5b372b2a89)7/8 · Fail

    Calculate and report the following metrics: 1. The Overall Vitamins Purchase Intent Score for each buyer segment. 2. The buyer segment with the highest average purchase intent score for Vitamins 3. Th…

  14. W134 Nancy Task 06APEX-Agents(task_4abd78ac38024a0094fa9ae0cfd31625)3/5 · Fail

    Create a new slide pptx, summarizing the comparable SaaS deals' target company name, purchase price, ARR, and ARR multiple. Include all targets for which we have an individual case study and use only…

  15. W134 Nancy Task 07APEX-Agents(task_d46f8183d88541c8ab7f2692aca28b5f)0/2 · Fail

    The LATAM market customer count is expected to continue growing at its 2024-2025B CAGR. Complisure could capture a quarter to half of the two largest LatAm players’ latest share of customers if they w…

  16. W134 Nancy Task 09APEX-Agents(task_56967ae9f77e42eeb5a0a5a272b34fe5)1/2 · Fail

    If competitors continue growing by their 2021-2024 revenue CAGR, while their operating margin % stays flat from 2025, which players will have better operating income than CompliSure by 2030? How much …

  17. W134 Nancy Task 10APEX-Agents(task_2bd66e1e194a4ce89ccf6432cbdce451)2/2 · Pass

    Can you use the customer usage and customer contracts files to state the impact on ARR and the new ARR if Complisure switches to the attached usage-based pricing model? Treat the payment discounts fr…

  18. W134 Nancy Task 11APEX-Agents(task_2fad87f261ae44d487187d8b737e11c5)4/4 · Pass

    Based on the attached table, with the asking price for each company, which competitors would have a higher 2024 ARR multiple than CompliSure even if their SMB customer count declined by 75%? State the…

  19. Word_129_PJ_01 APEX-Agents(task_0233800d9daf4459bc464ce2f1f822a8)1/1 · Pass

    I want to forecast total annual revenue for ServiceNow based on the competition's price benchmarking information available to us. For this analysis, calculate revenue for each of their tier/plan (like…

  20. World 127 TJ Task 1.0APEX-Agents(task_ed417907f78a4277ade5e6e7b1b564c4)0/6 · Fail

    Let's see how a 5% increase in COGS for all hybrid components affects overall gross profit results. Based on the client's request, we should recalculate the total 5-year COGS (€) and gross profit (€) …

  21. World 127 TJ Task 2.0APEX-Agents(task_8e592b2a3061410ebafea3183c960ff9)0/4 · Fail

    Let's model the impact of the price war in the EV charging space. There is an 8% reduction in the ASP for 'on vehicle charging hardware' across all three scenarios. We need to recalculate the revenue …

  22. World 127 TJ Task 3.0APEX-Agents(task_1d41b5f121724ec6bd9e22efba29f969)3/6 · Fail

    Let's calculate how much capex is not spent due to supply chain delays and how that affects Helios' total cash position. Based on the assumption that only 80% of capex is spent during 2026-2027, the…

  23. World 127 TJ Task 4.0APEX-Agents(task_55f7611b8cff4448b9a88c86ef96b28a)6/6 · Pass

    Let's check how a -2/+2 percentage points (pp) in annual gross margin for all component families affects Helios' total gross profit across the three scenarios. Assume base revenue stays constant, so…

  24. World 127_AH_Task 1APEX-Agents(task_e2b897ff18fe4f16a0c969cf70ad2766)0/10 · Fail

    Update numbers with the new projections (attached). I want the full breakdown for: DC converters and onboard chargers Driveline and axle modules Engine control units Engine core hardware Exhaust and …

  25. World 127_AH_Task 2APEX-Agents(task_47f6033c9a1d4a38af9edf059793720b)8/8 · Pass

    You are analyzing the results from the customer survey. The survey asked what Helios' top 3 capabilities are. The initial results came back incomplete, and there are now additional responses availabl…

  26. World 127_AM_Task 02APEX-Agents(task_4c9bf439a5224cf090ea3b3e8966a020)1/1 · Pass

    We have new expert input on pricing and content for two power electronics families. In the Helios Europe demand model, please (1) bump the ASP for "On vehicle charging hardware" by 15 percent and (2…

  27. World 127_HLV_Task 01APEX-Agents(task_600e75dad14c46c68fcd52a43f6446ca)2/7 · Fail

    Use the Helios customer survey to calculate average NPS scores for Pureplay EVs and EV/ICE. - If the average is 2 or below, they are promoters. They are passives if they are between 2 and 3, and det…

  28. World 127_HLV_Task 03APEX-Agents(task_626333c69ffb46d0ad041a2dd6916fdf)4/6 · Fail

    We want to understand the most important investment areas for pureplay EV respondents. The previous file contained incomplete information, so please use the newly attached updated file. Identify the…

  29. World 127_HLV_Task 04APEX-Agents(task_993a38dad72045b88ccdccadfc2f879f)6/10 · Fail

    The client wants to see the top four customers by cumulative revenue over the last three years and the average gross profit margin for each of the top customer's product families. Only include orders …

  30. World 127_HLV_Task 07APEX-Agents(task_becc9688490441baa6d7c4788c21171a)0/7 · Fail

    We are making changes to the case model to highlight a downside scenario where China's embargo on critical minerals reduces the components' margins by 50% if they are used for Hybrid and/or EV. The ot…

  31. World 128_RG_01APEX-Agents(task_a89f67b98b5e468d8d5f2a359db895d6)3/8 · Fail

    Hi, can you calculate the estimated size of all Frontier's business units in 2035? You might need to conduct growth forecasting to assess the overall size of the markets they operate in by 2035. Let's…

  32. World 128_RG_05APEX-Agents(task_953125d9b5634c68acffd075acf47448)4/4 · Pass

    Can you please use the Amensa market matrix and competitor landscape file to provide the capital budget for each business unit for the year 2026, expressed in $B? - Assume a total 2026 capital budge…

  33. World 132_PM_Task02APEX-Agents(task_4ab23f273c9f4e0a89684c3703302e25)0/2 · Fail

    Let us assess average price points of sub-categories in 2027 across these 7 markets - Australia, China, Germany, India, Mexico, UAE and UK. The client has informed us of some errors in the data. TAM…

  34. World 133 - NK Task #1APEX-Agents(task_effa0ae896284b07984dd5cc7151e10f)1/4 · Fail

    What are the projected 2026 aggregate free night bookings for Marriott, Hilton, and Hyatt in New York, London, and Tokyo combined? Assume all of Summit's 2026P free night certificate redemptions from…

  35. World 134 Nancy Task 02APEX-Agents(task_3763fab0373b4f59a98f11a97eedcb15)0/1 · Fail

    If CompliSure experiences the changes outlined in the attachment starting in 2026, what is the expected impact to free cash flow in 2030? Assume Interest Expense remains the same % of EBIT, and Inco…

  36. World 134 Nancy Task 04APEX-Agents(task_b7b8e91422ef483f8464df1538f575e8)1/7 · Fail

    We anticipate the following developments in 2026: 1) Market growth is forecast to stall to 0% over 2025 market size (per our latest 5 year forecast, which also includes all required CompliSure financ…

  37. World 134 Nancy Task 05APEX-Agents(task_683366bd76004f968ebfc93828c076bc)0/6 · Fail

    Assume a scenario where CompliSure can achieve best-in-class R&D rates (low) and gross margin rates based on 2024 competitor benchmarks for years 2025 through 2030, if best-in-class is better than the…

  38. World 134_RG_01APEX-Agents(task_ded0b246614049ab85ad985d45e44a30)1/1 · Pass

    Estimate and provide the Manufacturing SOM for CompliSure for the year 2035. Use the 2025-29 CAGR from the manufacturing SAM forecast in the vertical deep-dive manufacturing report as a constant annua…

  39. World 134_RG_02APEX-Agents(task_749eeedb6a2b4a8a98ddd46fed5ac7b7)0/1 · Fail

    Calculate overall customer sentiment score using the customer surveys. For each section, compute the section sentiment score as the simple average of the available question-level scores within that se…

  40. World 134_RG_03APEX-Agents(task_a1449f78d0c3427e9b34e65a08621976)0/1 · Fail

    Can you please help me re-evaluate and state the adjusted 2030 net income for Complisure? The 2030 adjusted net income will be based on the three key assumptions: 1) New Sales and marketing spend, a…

  41. World 134_RG_04APEX-Agents(task_d87f70c7f8d74665ac3ddcbef5a8d67a)0/6 · Fail

    One of CompliSure’s primary competitors, TrainIQ, is expected to lose a portion of its market share. Use the estimates provided by each research firm (A, B, C), provided in the attached report, as sep…

  42. World 134_RG_05APEX-Agents(task_f029be9cd145432599e5627d4111af24)0/3 · Fail

    Based on the attached findings from the top 3 research firms, what is CompliSure’s expected revenue ($M) in 2030 for each scenario? For each scenario, please assume that the overall market size in 20…

  43. World 225_JE_01APEX-Agents(task_915931c8aa7840ef9359ce9a50583e3d)2/2 · Pass

    Forecast operational expenses are impacted by a rising inflation of 2% in the REIT model. The increase is able to be passed on only for Services revenues. Assume the proportion of operating expenses d…

  44. World125_Task01_TBAPEX-Agents(task_2a441de423284de492c369432970eef5)3/3 · Pass

    Using the latest materials cost reduction analysis, assume Impact reduces its 2025 materials cost with current supplier relationships by 20%. Benchmark Impact's resulting 2025 materials cost as a perc…

  45. World127_AK_Task01APEX-Agents(task_2dc966cf774848bcb30c4a59492c61b5)4/8 · Fail

    After reviewing our analysis, the client has a few more requests for us. Recall we had shown scenarios in which the company discontinues SKUs which account for 5%, 7.5%, and 10% of gross profit. We …

  46. World127_AK_Task03APEX-Agents(task_799bb0f9ca444c7d9c2fff7aaa4885a9)9/10 · Fail

    Based on the client’s SKU data, calculate the weighted average gross margin for each platform. Then determine the percentage price increase required for SKUs on the lowest-margin platform to raise the…

  47. World127_AM_Task03APEX-Agents(task_c50984179bb64d288e409c0f1370fdda)4/6 · Fail

    We have ten expert call summaries from 2022 plus our latest 2025 expert synthesis file, and we want to see how typical EV unit prices have moved for two key families. Can you read the call summaries…

  48. World131_acd_task12APEX-Agents(task_f9f2907c268c44f686496a4934f1fc15)2/3 · Fail

    Looking only at projects in the Connection Queue that have a status of "Approved" or "Connected", calculate the percentage of the Total Forecasted Demand for the years 2026, 2027, and 2028 that could …

  49. World131_DV_02APEX-Agents(task_d55fe268d7f64a74aacfce4fc374ea96)6/6 · Pass

    Can you calculate the annual EU implied revenue for each Eastern European TSO? Use the midpoint of their implied market share ranges and 40 billion euros as the total market size. Using the implied r…

  50. World132_DA_Task03APEX-Agents(task_63dbfbfa09ea47ea839c99343129196a)0/6 · Fail

    Re-evaluate market entry priorities using the revised weightings for Buyer Profile Score. Identify the Top 3 Markets with the highest Revised Buyer Profile Score under the revised weighting methodolo…

  51. World132_DA_Task04APEX-Agents(task_b308f1c02b15494db5dfecb5583eed43)1/6 · Fail

    Analyze market entry priorities using the Pricing Corridor Score methodology for PureLife’s Supplements strateg. Identify the Top 3 Markets with the highest Pricing Corridor Score under the weighted …

  52. World132_DA_Task05APEX-Agents(task_3e7800abdba24ed5bbc956024114d229)0/4 · Fail

    Analyse market cost efficiency using the Cost Structure Score methodology for PureLife’s Vitamins strategy: - Calculate the Total Cost Structure Score for each market under the weighted methodology us…

  53. World132_DA_Task06APEX-Agents(task_dba8f191077f4c8a9348139b11c44ce6)0/4 · Fail

    Analyse category consumption patterns and market penetration using the Category Penetration Score methodology for PureLife’s portfolio strategy. Present the cumulative penetration score for each cate…

  54. World132_DA_Task07APEX-Agents(task_9e9514d5f4914c8fabe9734b242aed3a)0/1 · Fail

    Using the McKinsey wellness report and our buyer profile analysis, recalculate Supplement pricing with two factors only: Vitamins and Supplements preference and increased spending. Apply as multiplie…

  55. World132_DA_Task08APEX-Agents(task_5ed3c6dd4464400282ec21096513bf00)0/1 · Fail

    PureLife needs a validated UK market potential calculation for its vitamins and dietary supplements business. The current approach relies only on consumer behaviour metrics and overlooks the UK mark…

  56. World132_PM_Task03APEX-Agents(task_0f43cdc217ae4d1b87a2023800167f74)4/4 · Pass

    We want to assess PureLife's 2025 potential global revenue. Assume the following about the 10 markets (Australia, Brazil, China, Japan, Eastern Europe, Germany, India, Mexico, UAE, UK): - PureLife ac…

  57. World132_PM_Task04APEX-Agents(task_168d9c26180d4ad1b87d3ad7482c1982)0/6 · Fail

    Refer to all the market sizing files and the competitor benchmarking files. Consider only collagen, meal replacement and keto sub-categories. Using the 2025 market data provided, calculate the revised…

  58. World132_PM_Task06APEX-Agents(task_acc3cd70bfb645b980259915903fa379)3/3 · Pass

    We want to assess the net opportunity scores across markets. First, compute Market_Attractiveness_Index for each market. The formula is: 0.25* Average Sustainability_Score + 0.2* Average Revenue_CAG…

  59. World132_PM_Task07APEX-Agents(task_f33062743dc84f4abc1691a8a5f2c0ba)2/3 · Fail

    We need to assess the concentration of business across players. Let us remove supplements category from the analysis. Concentration of business of a player is its % share of revenue in its top 4 marke…

  60. World132_SF_Task01APEX-Agents(task_dbc1609bedd04467abf75b6a3528e2c8)2/2 · Pass

    I need to know our market share and ranking placement in Eastern Europe for our Lion's Mane Coffee/Cocoa product. Since the product is unique in the Nootropic / Focus Drink category in that market, as…

  61. World132_SF_Task03APEX-Agents(task_3f5efb251f4c45199512b7e4085c7b50)2/2 · Pass

    What is the impact on the forecasted 2027 EBITDA in Brazil if we reallocate half of a 20% savings on ingredients towards increasing our marketing spend? We want to achieve a 10% bump in sales. If the …

  62. World132_SF_Task04APEX-Agents(task_3d664fce59f541528e5e9b7cef207774)10/10 · Pass

    Using the consumer perception data and pricing details from the buyer profile, determine how many survey respondents in each market have never heard of PureLife and are willing to pay more than a 30% …

  63. World132_SF_Task05APEX-Agents(task_40e74d7e89d54b9ca07a5c778865c090)0/9 · Fail

    Comparing the revised projections for 2026-2030, what is the change in Japanese and Global 2026 results for Gross Profit and EBITDA in both dollar and percentage terms? If the 2026 Marketing costs in…

  64. world219_tg_04APEX-Agents(task_95a11015406f43a597c0b68c0b2e429a)0/1 · Fail

    Assume that CNS has been taken private as of the start of FY25E. The new PE owners have decided to reduce employee compensation by 50% of the value of stock-based compensation in the previous LBO fore…

  65. World223_AV_02APEX-Agents(task_943b6b1f7cc3442f91957583369004eb)1/1 · Pass

    In the Accretion / Dilution Model, assume stock-based compensation equals 3% of the sum of operating expenses and cost of goods sold, calculated using the model’s existing methodology, and added back …

  66. World223_AV_03APEX-Agents(task_1ada04b9f9814985a1a7b11180268a0b)1/1 · Pass

    In the Accretion / Dilution Model, use the capital structure and shares outstanding assumptions for Solventum (SOLV) to calculate levered free cash flow and price per share. Specifically, use the foll…

  67. World223_SMN_08APEX-Agents(task_8a0a32869f0946778e60441c0f179867)1/1 · Pass

    Calculate the intrinsic value per share of Solventum based on these assumptions. Use the accretion dilution model. - Lower the gross margin % to 52% for the forecast period 2026E through 2029E. - Ch…

  68. World225_BS_01APEX-Agents(task_d0adb2b01a094703ac75fedc1063ff98)0/3 · Fail

    Using the REIT model, consider the following assumptions for the projected period between 2025 to 2029: 1) Assume the revenue growth for its service business equivalent to the overall company revenue …

  69. World226_RM_01APEX-Agents(task_32223647d43949e0b85fa92f4e69b526)0/3 · Fail

    Update the LBO analysis tab "Copy of LBO". It needs to include a single potential add on acquisition in FY2027E. Assess the impacts on the 5-year LBO analysis. Use SOFR actual data. Add to that tab, t…

  70. World226_RM_04APEX-Agents(task_06a33a12bddc482fbbb01ae1752e1907)1/3 · Fail

    Update the LBO model to include an incentive payment structure of PLTF management post-transaction. Assess the impacts on the 5-year LBO analysis. Management is eligible for these payments each year …

  71. World226_RM_08APEX-Agents(task_6f51cd66e3ff43829ebf500e5000b821)0/3 · Fail

    Using the LBO model, I want you to tell me updated values for: (1) Implied Net Debt, (2) Sponsor Equity Value and (3) IRR for Year 5. # Assumptions -Increase the interest rate of the secured term loa…

  72. World226_SK_Task03APEX-Agents(task_9c300623b46a4b09b40f4976208bf8af)2/2 · Pass

    Calculate the sponsor equity value and IRR for FY2030, then report the sponsor equity value in US dollars as a reply. Round $ to the nearest million and report the IRR % to one decimal place. 1. Ref…

  73. World227_JZ_Task03APEX-Agents(task_fc96166d8f374e4eb8d4d15784904b8e)0/3 · Fail

    The Private Equity Sponsor wants to extract cash via a "Dividend Recapitalization" at the end of 2027. Using the MFC model, you must size the Maximum Special Dividend the company can pay while remaini…

  74. world227_tg_08APEX-Agents(task_da562f15d91a4d4290026386d2aa1c47)1/1 · Pass

    Please use assumptions below for a more aggressive financial forecast, which is termed the "SuperUpside" case: - The drivers of the SuperUpside case adds to the "Upside" case the difference between t…

  75. World246_SM_01APEX-Agents(task_7d11f0f8a4ac415599f715647d2a09e4)3/3 · Pass

    Reply back to me with the following values: - Implied share price. - Enterprise value - % weight of PV of terminal value in the total new EV. To get to the right answer, update the WACC calculation …