APEX-Agents · Investment Banking
World223_OB_04
APEX-Agents task World223_OB_04 in AI Agents for Maritime and Environmental Liability. Compare dual-harness agent runs across models — rubric criteria, scores, and public traces.
Task prompt
What the agent was asked to do
Present all $ output values in million, round all output values to 1 decimal place. Get the following directly from the accretion dilution model: - Enterprise Value (DCF output) - PV of Free Cash Flows (2025–2029) - Terminal Free Cash Flow (2029) - Terminal Growth Rate (g) - WACC Assume that 3M ownership stake = 20% and: 1. Compute 3M’s stake value using the current DCF Enterprise Value. 2. Reduce each of the FCFs for 2025–2029 by 10% and recalculate the PV of those 5 cash flows using the 7.6% WACC. 3. Recalculate the Terminal Value using the reduced 2029 FCF but keeping the same 3% terminal growth rate and 7.6% WACC. 4. Combine the new PV(FCFs) and PV(TV) to estimate a downside Enterprise Value, and compute the implied downside stake value for 3M. 5. Calculate the percentage loss based on the implied stake values Present your findings in a new deck with: - 3M's Current Implied Stake Value - Sum of PV of Revised Discounted FCFs - Recalculated Terminal Value discounted to the Present - 3M's Revised Stake Value - Percentage Loss
Published trajectories
Agent runs on this task
Curated dual-harness runs (parsed + original sandbox). Best scored run per model.
| Model | Harness | Score | Result | Links |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GPT-5.5showcase | dual | 4/5 | Fail | Share pagePublic trace |
| Gemini 3.1 Pro | dual | 3/5 | Fail | Share pagePublic trace |
| GPT-5.4 mini | dual | 4/5 | Fail | Share pagePublic trace |
| GPT-5.4 nano | dual | 4/5 | Fail | Share pagePublic trace |
Grading rubric
Criteria and grader verdict (showcase run)
States 3M's Current Implied Stake Value is $5,499.7 million
PassEvidence: In `/root/workspace/filesystem/Project Deliverables/3M_Solventum_DCF_Downside_Stake_Value.pptx`, page 2 states “3M's Current Implied Stake Value $5,499.7”; page 1 also shows “Current stake $5,499.7.” Assessment: The criterion requires stating 3M's Current Implied Stake Value is $5,499.7 million; the deck states this value, so pass.
States Sum of PV of Revised Discounted FCFs is $4,790.1 million
PassEvidence: In the deck, page 2 states “Sum of PV of Revised Discounted FCFs $4,790.1”; page 3 states “Sum of PV Revised FCFs $4,790.1.” Assessment: The criterion requires stating Sum of PV of Revised Discounted FCFs is $4,790.1 million; the deck matches, so pass.
States Recalculated Terminal Value discounted to present is $19,959.0 million
FailEvidence: In the deck, page 2 states “Recalculated Terminal Value (PV) $19,959.1”; page 3 states “PV revised terminal value $19,959.1.” Assessment: The criterion requires stating Recalculated Terminal Value discounted to present is $19,959.0 million. The deck states $19,959.1 million instead, so fail.
States 3M’s Revised Stake Value is $4,949.8 million
PassEvidence: In the deck, page 2 states “3M's Revised Stake Value $4,949.8”; page 3 states “3M revised stake value $4,949.8.” Assessment: The criterion requires stating 3M’s Revised Stake Value is $4,949.8 million; the deck matches, so pass.
States percentage loss is 10.0%
PassEvidence: In the deck, page 2 states “Percentage Loss 10.0%”; page 1 also shows “Implied stake value loss 10.0%.” Assessment: The criterion requires stating percentage loss is 10.0%; the deck matches, so pass.